SHOULD HAVE POSTED THIS LAST WEEK

It’s seemed obvious for awhile that the next big war won’t be started by China or Russia attacking the United States. What will probably happen is that some small nation will get into it with another nation, or one nobody will attack another nobody and their allies will rush to defend, and then awaaaay we go. I posted that comment on someone’s blog awhile back and intended to do a short article on it here, and got busy with other things. But today’s events spurred me to write.

So in that spirit of foreboding, I offer up this: The Russians have pulled a “China” on Ukraine by violating a treaty between them and claiming all the Black Sea for themselves, and have attacked and seized three Ukrainian vessels.

Ukraine is a NATO ally and NATO responded with this, and more: “NATO fully supports Ukraine‚Äôs sovereignty and its territorial integrity, including its navigational rights in its territorial waters. We cal on Russia to ensure unhindered access to Ukrainian ports in the Azov Sea, in accordance with international law.”

Russia wants to gobble up Ukraine and has for a long time because it directly borders Russia. We value little Ukraine for it’s strategic importance, for being where it is. The last thing Russia wants is NATO forces on their border.

So now Russia’s attacked Ukraine again, this time their naval vessels, that had a right to be where they were. Will this escalate? Will Ukraine’s NATO allies have to confront Russia militarily? That’s what Russia is testing right now, the will of NATO to defend Ukraine, and if NATO does not, then Russia will in fact march into Ukraine with tanks and guns and take possession of it, and NATO will look impotent.

NATO won’t do much of anything unless those nations know that Pres. Trump and the USA is prepared to fight as well. Personally, I’ve no doubt that he will and we will, it remains to be seen if the others will. This can go different ways, one of them being the Russians back off and another being a war that spreads far beyond the borders of Ukraine.

2 Responses to “SHOULD HAVE POSTED THIS LAST WEEK”

  1. x says:

    “What will probably happen is that some small nation will get into it with another nation, or one nobody will attack another nobody and their allies will rush to defend, and then awaaaay we go”

    Pretty much how WW1 started.

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