In what seems like a long time ago, Ernesto The Great (very famous person, but of course you know this) asked me if I thought there was going to be another Great War and I said no.
Times change and opinions change along with them, and now my answer is Yes. China is not gearing up for war as fast as they can without reason, nor is the US preparing to conquer Venezuela and Bolivia and kick China out of the Western Hemisphere for no reason, or Japan converting to a war footing that they’re calling “defensive only” to stay within their nations constitution. But they’re preparing to fight on the side of Taiwan, when China attacks Taiwan, because they and everyone else knows that if China takes Taiwan, Japan and the Philippines are next.
Russia continues to battle Ukraine, which is nearly exhausted of materiel and men, as the EU and NATO are united in refusing to allow Russia to win and intend to keep the war against Russia going. Little Israel is a major munitions manufacturer, producing top grade missiles and anti-missiles along with the worlds best air defense systems and some of the very best arms, and they’re at war in Syria and Lebanon now, along with continued fighting in Gaza.
The satellite nations that were formerly unwilling members of the Soviet Union along with those near them, like Finland, Denmark, Switzerland, Nederlands, Estonia and so on, are arming up for a fight with Russia.
Wars that Trump keeps trying to end through negotiation keep blowing back up. The latest two are Uganda and Tanzania, and Thailand and Cambodia. Trump gets them to join trade pacts and stop fighting, and a few days or a week later they’re bombing and shooting each other again.
The last two world wars began in Eastern Europe, the first one started out small and drew in neighboring nations until the world was involved, the second one started with the Germans invading Poland. I was 8 months old, by the way.
The third one stands a good chance of also beginning in Eastern Europe, thanks to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. But don’t place any bets yet because this one may start in 6 places at the same time. That it will start looks to be pretty certain. How soon? I don’t know and won’t guess.
Mister Black Sheep The Great said.